Below is my Interpretation of FII OI data Sheet for 30-Jan-12.
1. FII sold 45281 Contracts in NF worth 1154.94 Cores in Index Futures with Open Interest decreasing by 30877 contracts.
2. As NF was down by 100 Points and Net OI has decrease by 30877 contracts it signify FII have started booking profits in there long trades. We do not have a conclusive evidence as per Data Analysis they have shorted on a large quantity the INDEX.
We have discussed the maximum Rollover happened in range of 5077 NF Feb so close below this level will give a bearish scenario. Below 5077 next important level comes at 4964. So watch out for 5077 NF closely yesterday.
4. We have discussed the implication of 200 DMA and Hanging Man Candlestick pattern in our Weekly Technical Analysis and Nifty showed a correction after long time falling almost 100 points. Unable to break 200 DMA is sign of bearishness but the correction if stopped till 4964 will be very healthy for market if another attempt is made to break 200 DMA.
5. Nifty OI got reduced by 18 Lakhs contract as retailers and HNI liquidated there positions and added fresh shorts. Total OI stands at 2.17 Cores.
6. As tomorrow is Monthly closing Month time frame should be kept in mind.Close below 5002 will put Monthly Technical on SELL ON RISE .
7. In Equity cash segment FII sold 201 cores whereas DII sold 533 cores.After Long time FII sold marginally.FII sold 160 cores in Stock Futures also,
7. As per Options data 5200 CE has OI of 51 lakhs and 5000 PE is having OI of 50 lakhs.So 5000-5200 remains the range.
8. 4700 PE has seen an addition of 7 Lakh in OI with total OI at 49 lakhs. Premium is rs 15 which means buying has happened in 4700 PE as FII in Options segment bought 896 cores, It was mostly shorts covering in 5000-5200 PE. But 4700 PE adding OI needs to be watched closely Is it SMART money or Speculative Position.
9. FII SAR level comes at 5071 and Nifty ATP 5171. SAR has reduced by 100 Points so Profit booking in Longs is visible.
Buy above 5111 Tgt 5147,5166 and 5200
Sell below 5068 Tgt 5054,5020,4991 and 4964
All levels mentioned are SPOT levels.
Let me go by Disclaimer these are my personal views and trade taken on these observation should be traded with strict Sl
We do discussion is Live market to update Nifty levels If you are interested you can LIKE the page to get Real Time Updates.
Follow on Facebook during Market Hours: http://www.facebook.com/pages/Brameshs-Tech/140117182685863