Nifty way forward for 2014 based on 2009 Election move

Using the Similarity in Price Action of  Year 2009 we are trying to analyze the way forward for Nifty in remaining of 2014

Bulls have been riding the Dalal street from Feb Month and got in momentum after May 16 election results. Analyst on Streets have been talking about 8500/9000 odd levels and every dip coming in market is getting bought into.

I tried to analyze the chart of Nifty from 2009 after election results and interesting study came out.

After 2009 election as seen in below chart Nifty saw 2 UC’s followed by a period of upward sloping  from consolidation between two trendlines and then the upside breakout. The post pattern above the breakout resulted in move towards 123.6% of the channel width which formed an important top @ 6336 and than 1000 point correction in Nifty.

Post 2009



2014 Scenario

In 2014 scenario also after the rise on 16 May Nifty is trading in sharp rise on Election result day followed by period of upward sloping consolidation with an upside breakout. So if we are applying the Election time concept properly  the upside target projecting 100 % of channel @ 8240 and in max case  123.6% of channel will come near 8340. So except some major top to be formed in this range and we can expect a decent correction.

2014 Post


8 thoughts on “Nifty way forward for 2014 based on 2009 Election move”

  1. Sir, my pattern target for Nifty is 8340 and E wave target is 8616. This was my findings in January this year. But my Target date for the same were April to June 2015. Now people are saying 9000 and 10460 for next budget. I am keeping my fingers crossed.

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