Nifty November Expiry Analysis

By | November 25, 2015

FII

  • FII’s sold 2.4 K contract of Index Future worth 141 cores ,17.2 K Long contract were added by FII’s and 19.6 K  short contracts  were added by FII’s. Net Open Interest increased  by 36.8 K contract, so today’s fall in market was used by FII’s to enter both long and  shorts in  Index futures. Are you Trading on Skills or Luck
  • Nifty continued with small range play stuck between 2 EMA’s   as shown in 2 chart suggesting big trending move is round the corner. We might have a big expiry day, Now 7885 should be watched going above it can see move towards 7937/7995 . On Downside break of 7825 again will revisit 7765/7714.Bank Nifty November Expiry Analysis

 

Supply Demand

Gann Swing

  • Nifty November Future Open Interest Volume is at 1.18 core with liquidation of 19.7 Lakh which got rollovered to December series and also addition of 18 lakh, Rollover for NF stands @53.1% and rollover cost 7891.
  • Total Future & Option trading volume was   at 3.88 Lakh core with total contract traded at 1.70 lakh , PCR @0.91. Live SGX Nifty chart from 6:30-11:30 http://sgxrtchart.blogspot.in/
  • 8000  CE  OI at 59.2 lakh , wall of resistance @ 8000 .7900 CE  added 3.4 lakh in OI as bears added position at higher level which will be tested on expiry day as still high made was 7870 .FII bought 4.8 K CE longs and 1 K CE were shorted by them.Retail sold 3.4 K CE contracts and 12 K shorted CE were covered were by them.
  • 7800 PE OI@ 47.5 lakhs  strong base @ 7800. IF Nifty sustain below 7800 for 1 hour  we can see a swift fall towards 7750/7700 to give writers run for their money.FII sold 4.7 K PE longs and 2.6 K shorted PE were covered by them .Retail bought 6.2 K PE contracts and 7.4 K shorted  PE were covered  by them.
  • FII’s sold 540 cores in Equity and DII’s bought 532  cores in cash segment.INR closed at 66.32.

Buy above 7850 Tgt 7870,7895 and 7935(Nifty Spot Levels)

Sell below 7800 Tgt 7780,7750 and 7700 (Nifty Spot Levels)

 

Upper End of Expiry:7898

Lower End of Expiry:7765

 

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12 thoughts on “Nifty November Expiry Analysis

  1. Sandeep

    Sir ji what a level .Amazing ,on dot .Hamarey trading key
    Amitabh Bachchan ho aap

  2. MANU SEHGAL

    Pls help.me.. Also asked last month also.. How to come across the rollover cost as 7891…

  3. Bramesh Post author

    Dear Sir,

    Before entering the trade you should have a plan, After entering you are asking your SL and Tgt . Please trade DO NOT GAMBLE

  4. Aditya

    Hats off to you sir..your analysis is clear and levels mentioned are accurate most of the time…thnx

  5. SIYAD

    SIR,

    I HAVE 600 NIFTY 7850 PUT AT THE RATE 49….CAN U GIVE ME A TARGET AND STOPLOSS ?

  6. Vamsi

    Sir, any idea where will RIL trade tomorrow. Range? I am new to technical analysis.

  7. Bramesh Post author

    You need to read in 2 context.
    1. Intraday
    2. Positional

    On Expiry day we are expecting Nifty to remain in range of 7898/7765, Once broken its signify breakout or breakdown.

    On Positional Basis we need to close above 7885 which is in unable to do in past attempt for a move till 7937/7994 on upside

  8. Mani

    Sir, you mean Nifty won’t close above 7898 and below 7765 on expiry day. Also you have mentioned that if it crosses 7885, then it will go to 7937/7995 on expiry day. Upper end 7898 of the expiry is above 7885. It is confusing. Can you please clarify.

  9. Bramesh Post author

    Levels are mentioned above them big move possible

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