How to deal with Whipsaw in trading

By | April 28, 2014

1. Do not be overly concerned about whipsaws a good trend pays for them all.
A whipsaw is when you enter a position but get stopped out quickly when the market reverses opposite to your position.  If you are a trend trader this may happen many times in a row in a range bound market.  This can be very frustrating to a trader and it may cause them to completely change their method.  The fact is that one really good trend will pay for all of these whipsaws as long as you keep your losses small, and if you change your system you lose the benefit of that big trend.

To avoid whipsaw losses, stop trading. -Ed Seykota
2. When you catch a Trend, ride it to the end.
Your system must be able to take a position in a trending market, but then also be able to ride that trend to the end.  Most new traders will jump out of trades before they are finished trending because they are scared the market has gone too far and will take back their paper profits.  Let a trailing stop take you out of a trade when the trend is over, and only exit once you are stopped out.

“The trend is your friend except at the end where it bends.” -Ed Seykota
3. When you show a loss, give the loss a toss.
Every single successful trader ever interviewed as far as I have read has said  something along the lines of “Cut your losses short”,”Let your winners run.” “Pull the weeds, water  the flowers”.

“The elements of good trading are cutting losses, cutting losses, and cutting losses.” -Ed Seykota
4: We know if our risk is right when we make a lot of money, but can still sleep at night.
Risk is the amount of risk per trade: the dollars risked between your entry and your stop loss based on your position size and what percent this is of the total capital in your trading account. Also  how much your total risk is in regards to  how many positions you have open at one time as a capital at risk for your entire account.
“Here’s the essence of risk management: Risk no more than you can afford to lose, and also risk enough so that a win is meaningful. If there is no such amount, don’t play.” -Ed Seykota
5. When price breaks through, or there is a shock news announcement – DO NOTHING.  Your stops are already set.
Stick with your stop losses.  Do not let anything stop you from exiting a trade based on your predetermined stop.

It can be very expensive to try to convince the markets you are right.” -Ed Seykota
6. When you get a draw down after a series of losses, stick to your plan and pull the trigger on your entry signals.
A draw down in equity happens to all traders not just new traders.  This is where the trader has a long string of losses or an overall losing period.  If you are averaging 50% wins in your trading, you will still have a series of 1o losses at some point in your account.
Don’t change your methods in a  draw down.  If you have tested your system and it works, stick to it and keep taking your entry signals or you will miss that one big trend that pays for all or most of the previous  losses. There is one thing here to remember – sometimes your method has to be adjusted for market volatility or if it is range bound.
“It’s all about sticking to your plan and experiencing feelings as they arise. If you are unwilling to feel your feelings, the temptation is to avoid them by jumping off your system.” -Ed Seykota

4 thoughts on “How to deal with Whipsaw in trading

  1. Bramesh Post author

    Dear Vishal,

    A good trading system will give you Entry, Exit, SL. It seems your strategy does not have exit points, You can check my trading course where we cover profitable strategies.

    Rgds,
    Bramesh

  2. sudhakar

    Dear visual saw ur query.congrats u have written ur entry points are good.well begun is half done.regarding exit point even god can’t predict ideal exit point.so do PARTIAL PROFIT BOOKING .reenter.again RPT same cycle.just my view.

  3. Vishal Sekhri

    Hi Bramesh,

    Very recently i have been reading your articles and realise they
    are related to our everyday trading needs , my compliments to you.

    I have a specific querry wherein i seek your comments. I
    make more losses than profits and in most cases my entry
    points are good but i am not able to figure an exit point and eventually
    my gains turn into deep red . How should one assess exit point
    if you are making profit in a trade.

    regards
    Vishal

  4. Mukul

    Yes, Bramesh Sir,
    You just cannot avoid , “Pilferage ” in any business. In big organisations , though ERP is implemented very satisfactory level , frauds are taking place & no organisation is stopping or closing their businesses.
    Like this we have to consider , whipsaws in stock trading. Only important point mentioned & noted by me is ” stops” are essential.
    Thanks for lovely article
    Regards

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