Nifty Weekly Outlook for 2-6 Sep trading

By | September 1, 2013

Last Week was the most volatile week in recent trading history with Nifty swinging wildly in range of 750 points and ending the week on flat note. Nifty was falling Against the backdrop of a falling rupee, FII selling and the passage of food security bill in the Parliament accentuated the selling pressure.

GDP growth dived to a four-year low of 4.4 per cent in the April-June quarter of 2013-14, against 4.8 per cent in the fourth quarter of the previous financial year.  INR touched an all-time low of Rs68.75 to the dollar and Petrol and Diesel prices raised from today.

US markets will be closed on Monday for the Labor Day holiday

Last week we gave Trend Deciding level as 5508 Nifty  Nifty achieved all 3 target on downside :).Lets analyze how to trade Nifty in Expiry Week.

 Nifty Hourly Chart

nifty hourly

Nifty Hourly charts is trading in perfect downtrending channel and breakout comes above 5484.

 Nifty Gaps

For Nifty traders who follow gap trading there are 1 trade gaps in the range of  5400-6000 and all other gaps got filled.

  • 5742-5716

Nifty Daily Chart

Nifty Spot bounced smartly from 5119 falling trendline support as shown in below chart and bounced back  to retest the previous support (which is now a huge resistance) 5477.Another breakdown point of 5505 will act as resistance in coming week.

nifty daily

Fibonacci technique

As per of Fibo Retracement theory Nifty has taken resistance at 50% retracement and support at 23.6% bounced above it as shown in above chart. Holding above 5511 bounce till 5664 can be seen.

 

Fibonacci fan

nifty ff

Nifty Fibonacci fan are wonderful tool to find the top and bottom in short term.The above chart is self explanatory 🙂

As per Nifty Chopad levels close above 5475 will only be a booster for Bulls. Last week Nifty Chopad level of 5296/5166 played the trick as we were able to capture the bottom and participate in upward rally also.

Nifty Weekly Chart

It was quite a volatile week, with the Nifty seeing a swing of 410points and ending flat for the week.Nifty has formed double hammer candlestick pattern on weekly charts suggesting buying at lower levels and signalling reversal will come if it closes above 5556 on weekly basis. Nifty tried to move above the weekly support but failed to close above on weekly basis as per classical technical analysis support becomes resistance.
nifty weekly

Trading Monthly charts

nifty monthly

Monthly charts have given a breakdown. Will we see a follow up action in September month ?

 Nifty Trading Levels

Nifty Trend Deciding Level:5508

Nifty Resistance:5556,5605 and 5660

Nifty Support:5426,5375 and 5296

Levels mentioned are Nifty Spot

Stock Performance sheet for June Month is updated on http://tradingsystemperformance.blogspot.in/ 

Let me go by Disclaimer these are my personal views and trade taken on these observation should be traded with strict Sl

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