Dalal Street becomes Halal Street, Weekly Forecast

By | August 18, 2013

Stock market on Friday the biggest drop in about two years on fears of capital controls being imposed by the Reserve Bank of India and indicators of slowing economic growth has fuelled concerns about a potential sovereign downgrade. We Won Best Stock Blog Award : The Indian Bloggers Award 2013 (IBA)

Last week we gave Trend Deciding level as 5592 Nifty  Nifty achieved 2 target on  on downside and 2 Target on upside :).

Recently we started course on Stock Positional calls and MCX trading and what a week we had, Students made more than 1 lakh in last week :), A message to students please do not get carried by there profits , as we need to work on consistency and protecting our profits. Do remmber the trading psychology session i gave 🙂

 Nifty Hourly Chart

nifty hourly

Nifty Hourly charts trading took exact resistance at the lower falling trendline, and gave the much expected fall. Downward falling trendine comes as low as 5400 odd levels.

 Nifty Gaps

For Nifty traders who follow gap trading there are 1 trade gaps in the range of  5400-6000 and all other gaps got filled.

  • 5486-5447
  • 5742-5716

Nifty Daily Chart

Nifty after forming double bottom,rallied on upside but unable to cross the upward rising trend line as shown in below chart. 4 days on upside got retraced in single session suggesting,faster retracement of rise bears in full control of market.Nifty showed biggest fall in 2 years suggesting.Till 5784 is not crossed on upside bears are in full control of market.

Nifty daily trendline

Fibonacci technique

 Fibo Retracement

nifty fibo

As per of Fibo Retracement theory Nifty has taken support at 50% retracement and bounced above it. Holding the range of 5484-5474 bounce till 5664 can be seen.

 

Fibonacci fan

nifty ff

Nifty Fibonacci fan are wonderful tool to find the top and bottom in short term.The above chart is self explanatory 🙂

As per Nifty Chopad levels close above 5556 will only be a booster for Bulls. Last week Nifty Chopad level of 5592 played the trick as we were able to capture both down move and upmove.

Nifty Weekly Chart

Nifty moved in the range of 259 points, lost around 58 points from the previous week closing of 5566. It opened at 5607, made a high of 5755, a low of 5496 and closed at 5508.Nifty tried to move above the weekly trendline but failed to close above on weekly basis.
nifty weekly

Trading Monthly charts

nifty monthly

Monthly charts are near trendline breakdown zone. Will be get a breakdown or another whipsaw as was seen in breakout.

 Nifty Trading Levels

Nifty Trend Deciding Level:5556

Nifty Resistance:5605,5686 and 5768

Nifty Support:5475,5426,5378 and 5296

Levels mentioned are Nifty Spot

Stock Performance sheet for June Month is updated on http://tradingsystemperformance.blogspot.in/ 

Let me go by Disclaimer these are my personal views and trade taken on these observation should be traded with strict Sl

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3 thoughts on “Dalal Street becomes Halal Street, Weekly Forecast

  1. C.P,Godbole.

    I read all the biogs. I have one question .on 16thAug EOD.5500 CE premium is 88 and 5600 PE Premium is 53. Actually both premium should be in parity. I am saying only about premiums. How to interprete this?

  2. varun

    DEAR SIR,
    WHAT IS RULE FOR USING THE NIFTY CHOPAD LEVELS AND HOW TO TRADE WITH NIFTY TREND DECIDING LEVEL. IS THIS STOP & REVERSE METHOD?

  3. parminder

    Congrats
    Bramesh on the award
    Keep it up .
    Regards

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