Indian Markets finally gave a 4.5% rally which we have discussed in last week analysis as per Moving Average Forecasting method. On Macro front Not much has changed with the continuing political impasse, GDP growth at three year low of 5.3 per cent for the September quarter and rupee on a downward spiral. But that’s the beauty of stock market as stock price movement is just collective emotional response of millions of traders and investor and one can not expect rational explanation for all market moves, But technically we can justify the move in prices and forecast ahead whats on cards.
Lets discuss Nifty Trading Strategy for December Month.
Nifty Hourly Chart
Nifty Hourly charts has formed a clear negative divergence in Hourly charts, but this negative divergence is in small time frame when compared with Daily and Weekly time frame. Traders should not get carried away by this and short blindly. In Strong uptrend corrections can be limited to intraday so go with the flow till music lasts.
For Nifty traders who follow gap trading there are 6 trade gaps in the range of 5077-5900.
So these levels should be noted down carefully by Nifty trader to find further Nifty support and resistance.
Nifty Daily Chart
Finally the double bottom showed it effect from 5548 to 5585.Also trendline support at 5540 showed its true color with Nifty giving an aggressive breakout and rallying 250 points in matter of 3 days. I have said after mahurat trading Nifty tend to give 4-5% move and that to hold true and traders who have read the analysis should have made good money on long side.Now 5950-80 is the zone of resistance as shown in below charts.
As per trend line analysis Nifty is regularly taking support at rising trendline from low of 4770. Till the trendline does not get broken nifty can continue its upward journey (as we have discussed last week) ans same held true.
Nifty Daily Chart with Indicators
Trend line resistance has come up and unable to break 5885 NS will invite correction in Nifty. After such an stupendous rise consolidation will be the name of game for the coming week.
Moving Average forecasting method
As per moving average forecasting method Both 20 and 50 MA are converging at 5653 and 5654 and it always lead to a big move. So tighten you seat belts for a breakout or breakdown trade, This is what we discussed and same scenario played out.
Let me go by Disclaimer these are my personal views and trade taken on these observation should be traded with strict Sl
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