Don’t lose your stake. A speculator without cash is like a store-owner with no inventory. Cash is your inventory, your lifeline, and your best friend. Without cash, you are out of business. Don’t lose your line. There is no place in speculating for hoping, for guessing, for fear, for greed, for emotions. The tape tells the truth.
1. FII sold 18945 Contracts of Index Future,worth 387.42 cores with net OI increasing by 3273 contracts.
2. As Nifty Future was down by 46 points and OI has increased by 3273,so shorts from big players have started entering the system.FII have shorted index futures and stock futures and reason why every rise in market was sold into.
3. NS closed at 5225 after making the lower low of 5216, so Nifty closed below 5250 in the process filled the gap till 5216 and created one more gap on upside from 5260-5274.Bears have upperheand as Nifty closed below 5264 which is 50 SMA. Do remember we have ECB meeting tomorrow evening at 6 PM so market will stay volatile tomorrow.
As per gap theory gap till 5220 once nifty entered the gap region should be filled as soon as possible and till now nifty is unable to do so. So rise should be treated with caution as Nifty can fall to fill the gap.(This is what we discussed yesterday and market oblized us by filling the gap)
4. Resistance for Nifty has come up to 5260 and 5295 which needs to be watched closely ,Support now exists at 5190 and 5166 .Trend is Sell on Rise till 5336 is not broken on closing basis.
5. Nifty September OI is at 1.89 cores with an unwinding of 1.75 Lakh in OI,so longs which entered the system yesterday got squared off today. Rollover range for September Series comes at 5400-5290.
6. Total F&O turnover was 0.84 lakh Cores with total contract traded at 1.98 lakh lowest in September Series. PCR is at 0.92 and VIX at 17.1
7. 5500 CE is having highest OI of 73 lakhs with an addition of 10.4 lakhs in OI.5300 CE added 12 lakh in OI with net OI at 54 lakhs,so Bears are writing 5300 CE and is immediate ceiling for market. 4900-5600 CE added 23 lakhs in OI.
8. 5200 PE added 3 lakh in OI and having the highest OI at 69 lakhs so 5200 is firm base at the starting of September series.4900-5600 PE added just 4 lakhs in OI.Bulls addded just 4 lakh in OI which indicate that 5200 can be broken tomorrow. Bears have a lead over bulls now as per Options table
9.FII sold 188.65 cores and DII sold 166.28 cores in cash segment,INR closed at 55.90 Live INR rate @ http://inrliverate.blogspot.in/).FII were again sellers of 513 cores in Stock futures.
10. Nifty Futures Trend Deciding level is 5225, Trend Changer at 5299 NF. (Above this Level Bulls will rule Nifty/Below this levels Bears have upper hand).
Buy above 5235 Tgt 5255,5277 and 5295
Sell below 5208 Tgt 5190,5166 and 5150 (Nifty Spot Levels)
Disclaimer: These are my personal views and trade taken on these observation should be traded with strict Sl
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