FII F&O Data analysis for 20 Sep trade in Nifty Future Trading

By | September 19, 2012

May Lord Ganesh bring you and your family Lots and Lots Of HAPPINESS,LOVE and PROSPERITY…

Market never like Surprises and if they come it will factor in keeping worst case scenario in mind. UPA government is under minority with Mamata Banerjee deciding to withdrew her part support. Now UPA is depended upon Mulayam Singh Yadav and Mayavati to gain support. SP will decide tomorrow whether it wants to give support to Government or not, and in such volatility in capital market will be inherent tomorrow.We are in for a gap down open as SGX Nifty  is trading at 5557 levels.

1. FII bought 4564  Contracts of Index Future,worth 113.91 cores  with net OI increasing by 17984 contracts.

2. As Nifty Future was down by 5 points and  Open Interest in Index Futures increasing by 17984, FII have intitated fresh shorts in Nifty and Bank Nifty Future.

3. NS closed at 5600 after consolidating in the range of 5586-5621 and unable to break the swing high of 5652 in past 2 trading session indicating supply pressure coming from upside,Nifty has broken the swing high of 5448 with a breakaway gap between 5435–5527.After a straight rise of 435 points in 9 trading session nifty will need to consolidate for any further moves.

4. Resistance for Nifty has come up to 5602 and 5621 which needs to be watched closely ,Support now exists at 5558 and 5527 .Trend is Buy on Dips till 5466 is not broken on closing basis.

5. Nifty  Future September  Open Interest is at 2.16 cores with a fresh addition  of 4 Lakh in OI,long addition is seen in Nifty future .

6. Total F&O turnover was  1.16 lakh  Cores  with total contract traded at 1.56  lakh. PCR at 1.08 and VIX  jumped  to 17.83. 

7.  5700 CE  is having highest Open Interest of 70 lakhs with addition of 8 lakhs in OI Calls were written at 5700 as premium is 21 .5600 CE Open Interest  at 63  lakhs, with  unwinding of 4.5 lakhs.Immediate resistance is at 5600. 5200-5800 CE added 5 lakhs in Open Interest,Bears gaining some strength at higher levels.

8. 5500 PE added 9 lakh in Open Interest,Bulls want to make the 5500 as OI is now at 71 lakhs.5600 PE also added 2.7 lakhs in Open Interest ,but momentum is weakening as we were unable to close above 5648 and tomorrow we will open below 5600. 5200-5800 PE added 12 lakhs in Open Interest.Bulls will try to defend 5600 on closing basis, Any close below 5554 on Nifty Spot will favor bears in extreme short term

9.FII  bought 1049 cores and DII  sold 670 cores in cash segment,INR closed at 54.04  Live INR rate @ http://inrliverate.blogspot.in/).FII sold 629 cores in Stock Futures.

10. Nifty Futures Trend Deciding level is 5542, Trend Changer at 5393 NF. (Above this Level Bulls will rule Nifty/Below this levels Bears have upper hand).

Buy above 5602 Tgt 5621,5648 and 5675

Sell below 5568 Tgt 5553,5527 and 5500 (Nifty Spot Levels)

Disclaimer: These are my personal views and trade taken on these observation should be traded with strict Sl

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