FII Derivative Data Analysis for 25 July trade in Nifty Future

By | July 24, 2012 7:54 pm

1. FII  sold 10171 Contracts of NF ,worth 254 cores with net OI increasing by 11221 contracts.

2. As Nifty Future was up by 14 points and OI has increased by 11221 contracts  means FII haa a neutral stance and very busy in rolling over there positions to August series. FII futures data is irrespective of rollover.

3. NS made a low of 5103 and closed at 5128.Tomorrow Bulls will have litmus test as 200 DMA @5101(this is what we discussed yesterday and today NS made a low of 5101 and bounced back) and any close below it will end the bull run started in June. Bulls rule above 200 DMA and Bears are active below 200 DMA. NS has formed an DOJI pattern today and bounced from 200 DMA making a suitable conditions of bottom formation and reversal with caveat close should not be below 5101. Move above 5150 will add more weight to the point.

4. Resistance for Nifty has come up to 5150  which needs to be watched closely tomorrow,Support now exists at 5101-5090 if 5090 gets taken out we will have very week expiry. Bulls will have life only above 5150 now, Gap filling till 5205 should be done before expiry.

5. Nifty June OI is at 1.69 cores with an unwinding of 50 Lakh in OI,Rollovers have strated in NF and whole 50 lakhs got rollovered to August series,Were these Shorts or longs we will get more clarity near expiry. As Nifty was up by 14  points with addition in OI  shorts were liquidated by retailers and HNI

6. Total F&O turnover was 1.51  lakh  Cores  with total contract traded at 3.17 lakh.

7.  5200 CE saw an huge addition  of .5 lakhs and total OI stands at 72 lakhs  and immediate resistance.

8. On Put side 5100 PE saw an addition of 4 lakhs,immediate support at 5100. VIX is having see-saw drive down  10% today even though nifty moved just 46 points range.

9.FII  sold 109 cores and DII bought 38  cores in cash segment.INR closed at 56.24  Live INR rate @ http://inrliverate.blogspot.in/)

10. Nifty Futures Trend Deciding level is 5129, Trend Changer at 5263 NF (Above this Level B3ulls will rule Nifty/Below this levels Bears have upper hand).

Buy above 5150 Tgt 5167,5181 and 5205

Sell below 5090 Tgt 5075,5050 and 5020 (Nifty Spot Levels)

Disclaimer: These are my personal views and trade taken on these observation should be traded with strict Sl

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